Power Running Back Olympics

By Asher Molk - @AsherMolk
Stevan Ridley, Daniel Fells, Wes Welker
Jul
30
2014

In the world of PPR, backs who don’t catch passes are often overlooked. They have to earn their fantasy points the hard way, 10 yards at a time with the occasional touchdown. I’ve decided to look at three popular power backs with passing-game roles ranging from unknown to decidedly nonexistent.

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Finding Middle Round WR Value

By Mike Braude - @BraudeM
torrey-smith
Jul
28
2014

With the common strategy of drafting running backs early, owners are forced to draft wide receivers in the middle rounds. Using current average draft position (ADP) from Fantasy Football Calculator, I’m going to show you some of the middle round wide receivers that I like to target: Read More »

Rushing Touchdowns: On Sale Now!

By Asher Molk - @AsherMolk
NFL: Preseason-Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons
Jul
25
2014

In PPR leagues, receptions are king. Wide receivers are going earlier than ever in drafts: according to ADP, the WR to RB ratio in the first two rounds is 10:11. And with good reason: wideouts catch the most passes, are more consistent, and have a longer shelf life than running backs. Most importantly, they are much more likely to stay healthy. Running backs who catch passes rarely make it to the 7th round, and if we are taking wide receivers early then we have some work to do at running back in rounds 7-10. In PPR leagues, an important fantasy statistic is being often being undervalued or even ignored: rushing touchdowns.

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Projecting Range of Outcomes: Low End WR1s

By TJ Hernandez - @TJHernandez
keenan-allen
Jul
23
2014

As draft season approaches, a plethora of debates will ensue over whether Player X is a value at his current ADP. By exploring a range of outcomes, rather than a median projection, we can decide how likely it is for players to meet or exceed their draft position, and quantify ceilings and floors for any player. Read More »

Marshawn Lynch Is Overvalued In PPR Leagues

By Mike Braude - @BraudeM
marshawn-lynch
Jul
21
2014

After last season, I used my Points Above Average formula to find out who were the most valuable players last season. While Lynch was being selected with the 10th overall pick, he returned the 15th most value. Read More »

Projecting Range of Outcomes: Antonio Brown

By TJ Hernandez - @TJHernandez
antonio-brown
Jul
18
2014

As draft season approaches, fantasy football owners will be inundated with player projections and rankings. Median projections are an excellent tool for organizing players into tiers (you can find Mike Braude‘s for free here), but when applying projections to actual drafts, owners should be taking it a step further.

A player is a draft day value if they are likely to meet or exceed their draft position. In order to estimate the likelihood of a player reaching value we have to consider their range of outcomes, which I’ll attempt to lay out for you here. Read More »

Draft Him, Not Him Part I

By Asher Molk - @AsherMolk
*Sep 10 - 00:05*
Jul
16
2014

Every fantasy draft, I look at the later-round selections and ask myself “Why? Why would you take someone you KNOW will do nothing over an unknown who has an outside shot of helping you win a championship?”. Now, when those players are against me, I quite enjoy it. Give me all the upside fliers. But I’ll be nice enough to share with you my philosophies in this multi-part piece about later-round selections. Read More »

What Do Jay Cutler’s Starts Tell Us?

By Mike Braude - @BraudeM
jay-cutler
Jul
14
2014

When looking at the 2013 Chicago Bears, several things stand out. There was a big difference in who was targeted depending on whether Jay Cutler or Josh McCown was starting. Read More »

100+ Catches and 10+ TDs: What It Takes, What It Means

By Asher Molk - @AsherMolk
welker3
Jul
11
2014

Ahh, the majestic 100+ reception and the 10+ touchdown season- numbers sought after by every wide receiver in the NFL and fantasy football owner in North America. Just one extra digit seems to make things look a whole lot better, doesn’t it? After pondering what it took to rush for 20 touchdowns in a season, I set my sights on wide receivers and the mysteries behind 100+ reception and 10+ TD seasons. In arguably the most data-centric piece I’ve yet to author, I think you’ll find some interesting trends and conclusions.

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Rob Gronkowski: The Big Difference Maker

By Mike Braude - @BraudeM
Jul
9
2014

I’ve heard it discussed by some of the brightest minds in Fantasy Football that Rob Gronkowski is perhaps the most valuable player in fantasy when healthy. Since it’s 2014, you’ll likely have people saying, “No way man, Jimmy Graham is better.” Maybe he was last year, but if you dig deeper – one can see that Gronkowski has the higher ceiling. Read More »

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