Creating Your Own Projections: Points Above Average
Amongst fantasy football “experts”, creating your own projections is an act that has become a commonality. It all started with Value-Based Drafting created by Football Guys’ David Dodds and Joe Bryant. Since then, many have created their own strategies for making cheatsheets. I’ll now introduce you to my variation of this method.
How Scott Linehan Impacts The Cowboys Offense: Part II
In Part One of this series, I day-dreamt about what Tony Romo could do with Scott Linehan as his offensive coordinator. I came to the conclusion that not only did he have a higher ceiling and floor than meets the eye, but his ADP is such that he should probably be the number one target for…
Part 1: Finding Running Back Value in the Late Rounds
With my drafting strategy often involving drafting elite wide receivers early, I typically need to find value in the late rounds at running back. They don’t have to be my best players, (often RB2 is my weakest position) but they must help maintain my lead in points. One of the keys for finding value at running…
Career Touches and Running Back Decline
In the past few months, the fantasy football community has produced some amazing literature on running back age in the NFL and how it impacts fantasy production. Apex Insiders, Mike Braude and Asher Molk, recently revealed their comprehensive studies on Peak Age for Running Backs and Running Backs’ Decline Age. When considering RB production, though,…
How Scott Linehan Impacts The Cowboys Offense: Part I
Scott Linehan loves to pass the football probably more than you or I love anything. Since 2006, Linehan has overseen offenses in St. Louis and Detroit that have ranked 3rd, 8th, 15th, 6th, 3rd, 1st, 1st and 5th in pass attempts- an average of 5th most in the league over that span. Whether it’s been…
More Injury Prone: Running Backs or Wide Receivers?
As Part III of my “Early Round Selections” series, I’m going to compare the “fragility” (how likely one is to get injured) of the running back and wide receiver positions. Most believe that running backs are more likely to get injured because of their volume of touches, however I have yet to see any studies…
Optimizing The Apex Flex
Constructing a strategy for the flex position in Apex Fantasy Leagues presents unique dilemmas for the owner that is accustomed to a more traditional roster construction. While most leagues roster either 2 RBs, 2 WRs, and a flex, or 2 RBs and 3 WRs, Apex leagues roster 2 RBs, 3 WRs, AND a flex.
Does Jeff Tedford Limit Doug Martin’s Ceiling?
What a difference a year makes. Coming off of a stellar rookie season that earned him a top-2 fantasy finish at running back, Doug Martin was being discussed in many circles as the number one 2013 redraft pick. But after an ineffective, injury-shortened sophomore campaign that ruined many a fantasy team, where do we project…
A Closer Look at Early Round Selections
In Part I of this series I suggested that those who cannot select a top three running back should attack the wide receiver position. This strategy formed from the theory that wide receivers outscore running backs while being available for selection at a later draft position. Let’s take a look to see if the statistical evidence…
Embrace The Defense (And Special Teams)
Last week I took an in-depth look at how experienced fantasy football owners can benefit from keeping kickers on fantasy rosters. The evidence suggests that Apex owners that waited until the last round to draft their kicker saw a marked advantage over owners that took a kicker early.