Post-Draft ADP and Value Predictions: Part I
Possibly even more than free agency, the draft gives us an honest look into how NFL teams view themselves- their strengths, weaknesses, and everything in between. I decided to take a look at how NFL teams addressed those concerns, and how those draft choices will affect veteran players with a fantasy football lens. Will their…
The Shanahan Effect: What Could’ve Been
I wrote this article literally hours before news of Josh Gordon’s possible suspension broke. Oh what could’ve been… Coming off a magnificent breakout campaign in 2013, Josh Gordon will face new challenges in 2014 (truly more than I could’ve known). This challenge starts with losing offensive guru Rob Chudzinski, who was replaced by Kyle Shanahan….
Fantasy Points Per Target: A Wide Receiver Breakout Indicator?
We hear it every year in fantasy football circles: “He was so good when he actually played. If he just gets the chance, he’ll be a star.” In search of the next breakout player, fantasy owners will often look to players that shined in limited opportunities and target those players on draft day. When it…
Who Were The Most Valuable Players Last Season
Recently I found myself writing an article titled “Why Peyton Manning Isn’t Worthy of Your 1st Round Pick.” Before I was able to prove that you shouldn’t take Manning in the first round this season, I felt that I must assign a value to him for last season to see if his historic season truly…
Kyle Rudolph and Norv Turner – Together At Last
Antonio Gates. Jordan Cameron. Kyle Rudolph? The first two have been proven fantasy studs under new Minnesota offensive coordinator Mr. Norval Turner- can the latter be next in line? Let’s put aside all of the (arguably deserving) criticisms Turner has faced over the years and simply look at the production of tight ends through the…
Creating Your Own Projections: Points Above Average
Amongst fantasy football “experts”, creating your own projections is an act that has become a commonality. It all started with Value-Based Drafting created by Football Guys’ David Dodds and Joe Bryant. Since then, many have created their own strategies for making cheatsheets. I’ll now introduce you to my variation of this method.
How Scott Linehan Impacts The Cowboys Offense: Part II
In Part One of this series, I day-dreamt about what Tony Romo could do with Scott Linehan as his offensive coordinator. I came to the conclusion that not only did he have a higher ceiling and floor than meets the eye, but his ADP is such that he should probably be the number one target for…
Part 1: Finding Running Back Value in the Late Rounds
With my drafting strategy often involving drafting elite wide receivers early, I typically need to find value in the late rounds at running back. They don’t have to be my best players, (often RB2 is my weakest position) but they must help maintain my lead in points. One of the keys for finding value at running…
Career Touches and Running Back Decline
In the past few months, the fantasy football community has produced some amazing literature on running back age in the NFL and how it impacts fantasy production. Apex Insiders, Mike Braude and Asher Molk, recently revealed their comprehensive studies on Peak Age for Running Backs and Running Backs’ Decline Age. When considering RB production, though,…
How Scott Linehan Impacts The Cowboys Offense: Part I
Scott Linehan loves to pass the football probably more than you or I love anything. Since 2006, Linehan has overseen offenses in St. Louis and Detroit that have ranked 3rd, 8th, 15th, 6th, 3rd, 1st, 1st and 5th in pass attempts- an average of 5th most in the league over that span. Whether it’s been…