Predicting wide receiver breakouts has become an essential part of winning fantasy football championships. Last year it was Allen Robinson who broke out and won fantasy leagues, this year I believe it will be Stefon Diggs.

College Production

Corey Coleman, Kevin White, and Sterling Shepard are all being drafted ahead of Diggs. Let’s see how the competition stacks up.


In terms of production, Sterling Shepard looks like the worst prospect. Coleman clearly had the best final season but had the lowest career market share of receiving yards. Diggs’ final season wasn’t the best but he dominated his peers in market share of receiving yards during his college career.

Amazingly, Stefon Diggs had 42% of Maryland’s receiving yards and 39% of their receiving touchdowns as a true freshman. Stunning for an 18-year-old and a great indicator of future success.

Early NFL Career

As a 22-year-old rookie, Diggs averaged 55.4 receiving yards per game and totaled 720 yards for the entire season. If we query 22-year-old rookies who averaged at least 50 receiving yards per game and totaled at least 700 for the reason, we receive an impressive list of studs.

1Odell Beckham2014221213091130512108.8
2Randy Moss199821161246913131782.1
3Terry Glenn19962215167901132675.5
4Michael Clayton20042216122801193774.6
5Julio Jones201122139554959873.8
6Mike Evans201421151226810511270.1
7Keenan Allen20132115105711046869.7
8Amari Cooper20152116130721070666.9
9Eddie Royal2008221512991980565.3
10Sammy Watkins2014211612865982661.4
11Andre Johnson2003221611966976461
12Jeremy Shockey2002221512874894259.6
13DeSean Jackson2008221612062912257
14Hakeem Nicks200921147447790656.4
15Stefon Diggs201522138452720455.4
16Frank Sanders1995221610952883255.2
17Jordan Matthews2014221610367872854.5
18Justin Blackmon2012221613264865554.1
19Percy Harvin200921159160790652.7
20Torrey Smith201122169550841752.6
21Santonio Holmes200622168649824251.5
22Jeremy Maclin200921159156773451.5
23Calvin Johnson200722159348756450.4
24Keary Colbert200422159247754550.3
25Josh Gordon201221169650805550.3
26DeAndre Hopkins201321169152802250.1

With names like Odell Beckham, Calvin Johnson, Josh Gordon, Julio Jones, DeAndre Hopkins, and many more – it’s easy to get excited about Diggs’ future.

RotoViz’s Similarly Scores app likes Diggs’ chances of improving this season:


News From Camp

According to the Minneapolis Star-Tribune, Stefon Diggs has been “by far the most impressive offensive player” at Vikings camp.

Here’s a one handed catch from Diggs in practice:

In Summary

Diggs has the collegiate and rookie year production necessary to take a big leap forward in his second year. With an average draft position of WR44, he’s a clear value in fantasy drafts.