Each year rookie wide receivers are having an enormous impact on fantasy leagues. Last year Puka Nacua lit the world on fire, while Tank Dell, Rashee Rice, and more were significant fantasy contributors as well.

Let’s examine each of the rookie wide receivers selected in the top 75 picks of the 2024 NFL Draft and see who can make a meaningful impact this season.

I’ll use RotoViz’s Prospect Box Score Scout to generate similar comparable players for each wide receiver. If you don’t have a subscription to RotoViz, we highly recommend checking them out. There isn’t a better fantasy football content provider out there.

Marvin Harrison Jr., Arizona Cardinals

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Marvin Harrison Jr. was selected 4th overall by the Arizona Cardinals. Harrison Jr. is famously the son of former Hall of Fame wide receiver Marvin Harrison.

“MHJ” broke out as a sophomore, compiling 1,263 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns. As a junior, he recorded an eye-popping 45% dominator rating. MHJ did not participate in the athletic drills at the combine, likely because his stock simply couldn’t get much higher no matter how well he tested.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Marvin Harrison Jr.Ohio State40.290.380.361.17209
74Justin BlackmonOklahoma State50.320.450.31.384.46207
50Sammy WatkinsClemson40.30.260.340.924.43211
36Amari CooperAlabama40.370.360.441.144.42211
26Drake LondonUSC80.290.250.430.88219
15Mike EvansTexas A&M70.290.250.30.924.53231
14Michael CrabtreeTexas Tech100.270.410.221.464.54215
14Julio JonesAlabama60.330.30.330.544.34220
13Kevin WhiteWest Virginia70.280.370.350.774.35215
11JaMarr ChaseLSU50.270.310.321.434.34201
9Mike WilliamsClemson70.230.210.270.73218

Sim refers to the sim score for how similar each comparable player is. DP is the player’s draft position. CYMS is each player’s career receiving yards market share. CTDMS is each player’s career receiving touchdowns market share. FYMS is each player’s final year receiving yards market share. FTD/G is each player’s final year receiving touchdowns per game.

His comparable players paint a picture of the who’s who of NFL wide receivers. The sky is the limit for MHJ; he’s about as can’t miss as a prospect can be.

Malik Nabers, New York Giants

Like Harrison, Malik Nabers is an absolute stud. He was selected 6th overall by the New York Giants.

Nabers was involved as a true freshman before registering a 20% dominator rating as a sophomore. In his junior season, he upped that to 34% with a tremendous 3.82 yards per team attempt.

Nabers didn’t participate at the combine but ran a 4.35 forty at his pro day. His size, weight, and athleticism paint a picture of a Ja’Marr Chase clone.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Malik NabersLSU60.280.230.361.08
77Odell Beckham Jr.LSU120.30.230.350.624.38198
68Garrett WilsonOhio State100.230.220.271.094.38183
68JaMarr ChaseLSU50.270.310.321.434.34201
63Tavon AustinWest Virginia80.240.260.30.924.34174
59Ted Ginn Jr.Ohio State90.290.270.280.754.38178
55Sammy WatkinsClemson40.30.260.340.924.43211
53John RossWashington90.220.290.321.214.22188
50DeVonta SmithAlabama100.270.30.41.77
38Darrius Heyward-BeyMaryland70.290.340.260.424.3210
37Julio JonesAlabama60.330.30.330.544.34220

With top comps of Odell, Garrett Wilson, and Chase, it’s hard not to get excited about Nabers. The future star is already making noise in camp, an anonymous offensive assistant coach said Nabers “could be like Odell” in 2024.

Rome Odunze, Chicago Bears

The Chicago Bears selected Rome Odunze with the 9th overall selection.

Unlike MHJ and Nabers, Odunze is a non-early declare. He broke out as a sophomore with a 30% dominator rating. As a senior, Odunze topped 1,600 receiving yards with 13 touchdowns.

Rome proved an excellent athlete at the combine. At 212 lbs., he ran a 4.45 forty – good for a 94th percentile speed score. He also performed well in the leaping and agility drills.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Rome OdunzeWashington90.280.30.320.874.45212
67Michael FloydNotre Dame130.320.410.350.694.4220
64Mike WilliamsClemson70.230.210.270.73218
59DeVonta SmithAlabama100.270.30.41.77
53Drake LondonUSC80.290.250.430.88219
50Odell Beckham Jr.LSU120.30.230.350.624.38198
48Kendall WrightBaylor200.30.330.361.084.49196
47Corey ColemanBaylor150.270.340.371.674.42194
46Julio JonesAlabama60.330.30.330.544.34220
45CeeDee LambOklahoma170.250.270.341.084.5198
43Sammy WatkinsClemson40.30.260.340.924.43211

Odunze clearly has some excellent comparable players and should be a good NFL player. The question remains: with Caleb Williams starting, can Odunze be productive as a rookie on a team with D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen? The Bears might be a team to target this season for fantasy pass-catchers, though Odunze is likely to be less consistent than Harrison or Nabers.

Brian Thomas Jr., Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jacksonville Jaguars selected Brian Thomas Jr. with the 23rd overall selection.

Thomas was a three-year player at LSU but didn’t break out until an excellent junior season. As a junior, he finished with a 33% dominator rating boosted by 17 touchdowns. Unfortunately, prior to his 21-year-old junior season, he didn’t even top 0.97 yards per team pass attempt.

Thomas tested as an excellent athlete. He ran a 4.33 forty at 209 lbs., which registers a 99th percentile speed score. He also performed well in the leaping drills.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Brian Thomas Jr.LSU230.180.260.271.314.33209
57Justin JeffersonLSU220.260.30.261.24.43202
55Breshad PerrimanUCF260.260.240.340.69212
43Nelson AgholorUSC200.260.230.340.924.42198
42Justin HunterTennessee340.260.280.290.754.44196
39Terrace Marshall Jr.LSU590.170.30.341.434.4205
34Phillip DorsettMiami290.210.230.290.834.33185
33Jerry JeudyAlabama150.250.220.260.774.45193
33Jalen ReagorTCU210.260.350.250.424.47206
32Brandin CooksOregon State200.270.30.361.234.33189
32Alec PierceCincinnati530.260.210.270.574.41211

The concern for Thomas is he’s a one-year wonder. His career receiving yards market share was just 18%, while most of his comparable prospects earn 26%. Despite being a physical specimen, I’m often weary of players who don’t exhibit prolonged production at the college level.

Xavier Worthy, Kansas City Chiefs

With the 28th overall pick (acquired from Buffalo), the Chiefs selected Xavier Worthy.

Worthy broke out as a true freshman, compiling 993 yards and 12 touchdowns. His 39% dominator rating is top-end age-adjusted production and a great sign for his future. Worthy didn’t top those numbers as a sophomore or junior but his percentage of catchable passes was extremely low. It was also reported that Worthy played the second half of 2022 with a broken hand.

At the NFL Combine, Worthy broke the record for the fastest forty time at 4.21 seconds. He also leaped to a 96th percentile burst score. The red flag for Worthy is weighing just 165 lbs., but NFL wide receiver weight has changed over the years, making this far less concerning than it once was.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Xavier WorthyTexas280.280.340.250.364.21165
64Rondale MoorePurdue490.30.290.2904.28180
53DeSean JacksonCalifornia490.310.380.260.54.35169
28Brandin CooksOregon State200.270.30.361.234.33189
22Will Fuller VNotre Dame210.30.450.371.084.32186
20Tyquan ThorntonBaylor500.210.260.330.714.28181
16Phillip DorsettMiami290.210.230.290.834.33185
16Elijah MooreOle Miss340.290.30.4214.35185
12John RossWashington90.220.290.321.214.22188
11Dante PettisWashington440.20.270.260.54186
11Deon ButlerPenn State910.260.310.260.544.31182

Players like DeSean Jackson, Brandin Cooks, and Will Fuller should alert drafters that Worthy has sky-high upside. While he could be another miss for Andy Reid, playing with Patrick Mahomes should help alleviate potential concerns.

Ricky Pearsall, San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers added to their reservoir of playmakers by drafting Ricky Pearsall with the 31st overall selection.

A five-year college player, Pearsall never topped a 28% dominator rating. It took him till his 5th season before he topped 1.86 yards per team attempt. When drafting a first-round wide receiver, you’d like to see more production.

Pearsall did, however, lit up the combine. He ran a 4.41 forty, finished with a 98th percentile burst score, and 97th percentile agility. The negative is he weighs just 189 lbs.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Ricky PearsallFlorida310.220.20.310.334.41189
70Phillip DorsettMiami290.210.230.290.834.33185
57Titus YoungBoise State440.240.210.290.694.43174
51Sterling ShepardOklahoma400.270.250.320.854.48194
51Devin SmithOhio State370.260.280.270.864.42196
42Dante PettisWashington440.20.270.260.54186
33Zay JonesEast Carolina370.260.210.430.674.45201
32Markus WheatonOregon State790.240.20.310.854.45189
32Tyquan ThorntonBaylor500.210.260.330.714.28181
31Rashee RiceSMU550.240.210.350.834.51204
30Kadarius ToneyFlorida200.150.130.230.914.39193

The comparable players are alarming. Aside from Rashee Rice, the comparable prospects paint a picture of underachievers. To add fuel to the fire, Pearsall will likely enter the season behind Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk. Even if one were to go down, Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle would likely receive plenty more opportunities in front of Pearsall.

Xavier Legette, Carolina Panthers

With the last pick of the first round, the Carolina Panthers selected Xavier Legette.

Legette was a five-year college player and didn’t breakout until his fifth season. He didn’t top 1.08 yards per team attempt until his fifth season. In his fifth season, he compiled 1,255 yards and scored seven touchdowns.

Legette dominated the combine, running a 4.39 forty at 221 lbs. He also leaped to a 89th percentile burst score. Legette is certainly an athletic freak.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Xavier LegetteSouth Carolina320.210.210.380.584.39221
65Jonathan MingoOle Miss390.210.20.290.424.46220
54Chase ClaypoolNotre Dame490.220.220.3214.42238
46Zay JonesEast Carolina370.260.210.430.674.45201
38Michael Pittman Jr.USC340.250.270.290.854.52223
34Rashee RiceSMU550.240.210.350.834.51204
27Brian RobiskieOhio State360.250.330.270.624.46209
25Mohamed MassaquoiGeorgia500.20.190.250.624.51210
24Sterling ShepardOklahoma400.270.250.320.854.48194
23Deebo SamuelSouth Carolina360.290.290.260.924.48214
23Devin SmithOhio State370.260.280.270.864.42196

You can see from the comps that Legette is a bigger wide receiver. Jonathan Mingo and Chase Claypool are very similar profiles. Can Legette’s freak athleticism help him overcome his lack of prolonged production?

Keon Coleman, Buffalo Bills

After trading Stefon Diggs, the Bills selected Keon Coleman in the second round.

As a sophomore, Coleman finished with a 29% dominator rating at Michigan State. During that season, he slightly outperformed teammate Jayden Reed. Coleman transferred to Florida State for his junior season where he finished with an impressive 46% of the receiving touchdowns. Despite showing a nose for the endzone, Coleman never topped 800 receiving yards or 1.94 yards per team attempt in college.

At the NFL Combine, Coleman ran a 4.61 forty. At 213 lbs., that’s good for a 62nd percentile speed score. He leaped to an 82nd percentile burst score.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Keon ColemanFlorida State330.220.320.220.924.61213
95Tee HigginsClemson330.230.30.270.87216
82Michael ThomasOhio State470.240.290.320.694.57212
81Laquon TreadwellOle Miss230.230.270.260.854.52221
59Robert WoodsUSC410.290.30.230.854.51201
57Cody LatimerIndiana560.220.250.30.754.52215
52DeAndre HopkinsClemson270.290.310.341.384.57214
51Jalen ReagorTCU210.260.350.250.424.47206
50JuJu Smith-SchusterUSC620.280.250.250.774.54215
45Malcolm KellyOklahoma510.310.330.250.754.68224
45Laviska Shenault Jr.Colorado420.290.250.30.364.58227

Coleman’s comparable players show some impressive hits in Tee Higgins, Michael Thomas, and DeAndre Hopkins. While Laquon Treadwell, Cody Latimer, and Malcolm Kelly highlight that the bigger wide receivers don’t always hit.

Ladd McConkey, Los Angeles Chargers

With Keenan Allen and Mike Williams departing, the Chargers selected McConkey in the second round.

For his entire collegiate career, McConkey has just 1,687 receiving yards. He never topped a 20% dominator rating. Like Puka Nacua, McConkey was impressive on a per-route basis. The concern is the expectation that a part-time player in college will become a full-time player in the NFL, which is the exception and not the rule.

At 186 lbs., McConkey ran a 4.39 forty. He was slightly above average in the leaping drills with a 60th percentile burst score.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Ladd McConkeyGeorgia340.160.160.20.254.39186
95John MetchieAlabama440.20.140.250.62187
70Kadarius ToneyFlorida200.150.130.230.914.39193
67Mecole HardmanGeorgia560.170.20.170.544.33187
64Parris CampbellOhio State590.170.150.210.864.31205
47Dante PettisWashington440.20.270.260.54186
47Phillip DorsettMiami290.210.230.290.834.33185
36Terry McLaurinOhio State760.120.180.150.924.35208
33George PickensGeorgia520.220.260.0904.47195
31Dexter McClusterOle Miss360.220.120.20.254.53172
29Derrick WilliamsPenn State820.180.140.150.314.47194

McConkey’s lack of consistent playing time hurts his comparable players. It’s rare that a player with so little production is selected so highly. Regardless, if McConkey can keep up his per-play efficiency on a team that is desperate for playmaking in the passing game, he could be an impact player immediately. Herbert will be looking for a new target hog even if the Chargers are run-heavy. With the draft capital invested in McConkey by this new staff, the Chargers will need him to have an impact.

Ja’Lynn Polk, New England Patriots

The Patriots selected Ja’Lynn Polk with the 37th overall selection.

Polk transferred from Texas Tech to Washington after his freshman year but didn’t top a 14% receiving yards market share until his senior season. His senior production looks impressive because of the potent Washington offense, but his market share was far from dominant.

At 203 lbs., Polk ran a 4.52 forty. He did impress in the leaping drills.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100JaLynn PolkWashington370.170.210.240.694.52203
98Mohamed MassaquoiGeorgia500.20.190.250.624.51210
81Jonathan MingoOle Miss390.210.20.290.424.46220
70Josh PalmerTennessee770.180.130.230.44.51210
62Rashee RiceSMU550.240.210.350.834.51204
55Amari RodgersClemson850.150.140.240.584.52212
52Austin PettisBoise State780.20.30.230.774.56209
51Josh HuffOregon860.220.220.30.924.51206
45Michael Pittman Jr.USC340.250.270.290.854.52223
43Sterling ShepardOklahoma400.270.250.320.854.48194
42Cody LatimerIndiana560.220.250.30.754.52215

There are a few hits mixed in, but this is a profile that has previously disappointed fantasy owners. The positive spin is the Patriots’ depth chart has few playmaking roadblocks in his way.

Adonai Mitchell, Indianapolis Colts

After tearing up the combine, many expected Adonai Mitchell to be selected much higher. He fell to the Cots at 52nd overall.

Mitchell began his collegiate career at Georgia where he didn’t top a 13% yardage share in his first two seasons. As a junior he transferred to Texas and broke out to a 32% dominator rating. It’s important to note that his dominator rating was bolstered by catching 44% of Texas’ receiving touchdowns last season – he accounted for just 21% of the receiving yardage.

At 6’2” 205 lbs., Mitchell ran a 4.34 forty – that’s good for a 98th percentile speed score. Mitchell also leaped his way to a 96th percentile burst score. Mitchell’s freak athleticism certainly helped him in the red area.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Adonai MitchellTexas520.160.240.210.794.34205
94Parris CampbellOhio State590.170.150.210.864.31205
90Terry McLaurinOhio State760.120.180.150.924.35208
76D.K. MetcalfOle Miss640.180.260.230.714.33228
60Louis MurphyFlorida##0.190.190.220.54.32203
60Terrace Marshall Jr.LSU590.170.30.341.434.4205
57Miles BoykinNotre Dame930.190.230.260.624.42220
54Mecole HardmanGeorgia560.170.20.170.544.33187
50Nico CollinsMichigan890.230.280.240.584.43215
48John MetchieAlabama440.20.140.250.62187
46Bruce EllingtonSouth Carolina##0.20.230.250.674.45197

Similar prospects like Terry McLaurin, D.K. Metcalf, and Nico Collins highlight that Mitchell’s athleticism could shine at the NFL level. Behind Michael Pittman, Mitchell has a clear path to targets. The Athletic’s James Boyd reported that Mitchell “continues to flash his potential” during Colts OTAs.

Malachi Corley, New York Jets

Malachi Corley was selected by the New York Jets with the 65th overall selection.

A four-year player at Western Kentucky, Corley broke out as a junior with a 26% dominator rating. Despite seeing a drop in raw stats, he upped his dominator rating to 31% as a senior. Corley saw most of his targets at a depth of 5 or fewer yards and specialized at evading tackles and gaining yards after contact.

Corley did not participate at the NFL Combine due to injury.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Malachi CorleyWestern Kentucky650.20.210.280.92
96Ty MontgomeryStanford940.230.210.240.274.55221
93Patrick TurnerUSC870.170.170.220.774.59223
92Mohamed MassaquoiGeorgia500.20.190.250.624.51210
85Josh HuffOregon860.220.220.30.924.51206
81Austin PettisBoise State780.20.30.230.774.56209
81Michael WilsonStanford940.190.20.260.674.58213
80Cody LatimerIndiana560.220.250.30.754.52215
75Josh PalmerTennessee770.180.130.230.44.51210
75Jonathan MingoOle Miss390.210.20.290.424.46220
70Amari RodgersClemson850.150.140.240.584.52212

The similar prospects don’t paint a pretty picture. However, Ty Montgomery was successful with Aaron Rodgers in a hybrid role. If Mike Williams isn’t available in his return from injury, Corley could be Rodgers’ WR2 behind Garrett Wilson. Rodgers called Corley “his favorite receiver in the draft.”