Each year, rookie wide receivers have an enormous impact on fantasy leagues. Last year, Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. lit the world on fire. In 2024, it was Puka Nacua.

This year’s class appears relatively weak. We’re comparing these players on their individual merits, not relative to the rest of this class. Off the top of my head, this is one of the weakest wide receiver classes I’ve covered.

Since all college offenses are different, we will frequently be using dominator rating and yards per team pass attempt as a barometer to compare these receivers. Dominator Rating is the player’s average market share of both receiving yards and touchdowns. Yards Per Team Attempt (YPTA) is a receiver’s receiving yardage per team attempt.

We’ll break down the profiles of each rookie wide receiver selected in the top 100 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft and assess who could potentially make a fantasy impact this season.

For comps, I’ll use RotoViz’s Prospect Box Score Scout. If you don’t have a subscription, I highly recommend checking them out.

Travis Hunter, 2nd Overall, Jacksonville Jaguars

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Selected second overall, Travis Hunter is a unicorn who also played cornerback in college. Hunter won the Heisman — only the second-ever defensive player to win the award. He also became the first player in college football history to win both the Chuck Bednarik Award (top defensive player) and the Fred Biletnikoff Award (top wide receiver).

Hunter was involved at Jackson State as a true freshman but only posted a 16% dominator rating. As a sophomore, he topped 2.0 yards per team pass attempt (YPTA) and hit a 24% dominator rating. His junior season was his most dominant, finishing with 96/1,258/16 — good for a 35% dominator rating and 2.62 YPTA.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Travis HunterColorado20.250.30.31.15
18Sammy WatkinsClemson40.30.260.340.924.43211
14Mike WilliamsClemson70.230.210.270.73218
11Drake LondonUSC80.290.250.430.88219
10Mike EvansTexas A&M70.290.250.30.924.53231
8Justin BlackmonOklahoma State50.320.450.31.384.46207
5DeVonta SmithAlabama100.270.30.41.77
4Jaylen WaddleAlabama60.180.140.290.8
4Rome OdunzeWashington90.280.30.320.874.45212
4Amari CooperAlabama40.370.360.441.144.42211
4Michael CrabtreeTexas Tech100.270.410.221.464.54215

Sim refers to the similarity score for how similar each comparable player is. DP is the player’s draft position. CYMS is each player’s career receiving yards market share. CTDMS is each player’s career receiving touchdowns market share. FYMS is each player’s final year receiving yards market share. FTD/G is each player’s final year receiving touchdowns per game.

Hunter’s comps are somewhat mismatched — largely because his receiving production doesn’t align with his historic draft capital. Hunter was an excellent collegiate wide receiver, but he tied the highest a wide receiver has ever been drafted. Out of his comparable players, only Mike Williams and the oft-injured Jaylen Waddle finished with a lower career receiving yards market share.

The fantasy question is whether his potential defensive role limits offensive snaps. Jacksonville insists he will “play a major role in the Jaguars’ offense.”

The question for Hunter’s fantasy value remains: will Hunter’s potential participation on defense limit his offensive snaps? The team insists he “will play a major role in the Jaguars’ offense”. Considering new head coach Liam Coen worked magic last year Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, and Jalen McMillan, Hunter and sophomore star Brian Thomas Jr. are likely to complement each other as the only real volume receiving options in this offense. It’s unlikely that Brenton Strange and Dyami Brown are going to take looks away from this unique rookie phenom that Jacksonville traded up for.

Tetairoa McMillan, 8th Overall, Carolina Panthers

McMillan (T-Mac) was productive from the jump. As a freshman, he logged a 25% dominator rating, leading all true freshmen nationally in yards and touchdowns. As a sophomore, he hit a 31% dominator and 3.02 YPTA. He closed with a dominant 44% dominator rating as a junior.

While he didn’t test at the combine, McMillan was dominant in terms of raw production.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Tetairoa McMillanArizona80.320.330.440.67219
67Drake LondonUSC80.290.250.430.88219
44Treylon BurksArkansas180.360.370.420.924.55225
17Mike EvansTexas A&M70.290.250.30.924.53231
16DeAndre HopkinsClemson270.290.310.341.384.57214
16Quentin JohnstonTCU210.310.30.310.46208
11Amari CooperAlabama40.370.360.441.144.42211
10Rome OdunzeWashington90.280.30.320.874.45212
10CeeDee LambOklahoma170.250.270.341.084.5198
9N’Keal HarryArizona State320.310.390.380.754.53228
9Sammy WatkinsClemson40.30.260.340.924.43211

He profiles very similarly to Drake London — both were picked 8th overall, weighed 219 lbs, and play a similar physical style of play built on winning while the ball’s in the air. McMillan actually outpaced London in both career receiving yardage and touchdown share. The inclusion of names like Treylon Burks, Quentin Johnston, and N’Keal Harry in his comps reminds us that even first-rounders can bust. Still, comparisons to Mike Evans, DeAndre Hopkins, and CeeDee Lamb provide strong enthusiasm for this draft’s most productive receiver.

The Panthers’ barren depth chart virtually guarantees that McMillian will be heavily targeted. Bryce Young’s second-half leap and Dave Canales’ coaching prowess provide optimism that the targets will be valuable.

Emeka Egbuka, 19th Overall, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Egbuka was lightly used as a freshman behind college football’s best WR room: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Garrett Wilson, Chris Olave, and Marvin Harrison Jr.

His sophomore year was his best, posting a 27% dominator rating and 2.81 YPTA. His junior season was disappointing, though — just 41/515/4 while Harrison finished with 67/1,211/14. MHJ averaged 100.9 yards per game and a 45% dominator rating, Egbuka was at just 51.5 and 20%. It was a disappointing season, but he did suffer an ankle injury (severe enough to require tightrope surgery) and missed multiple games.

In his final collegiate season, Egbuka was outshone by superstar Jeremiah Smith but still held his own with 81/1,011/10. Playing four years in college makes Egbuka a non-early declare. While COVID seasons muddied the water a tad, non-early declares are much less productive in the NFL.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Emeka EgbukaOhio State190.230.210.240.63202
40Laquon TreadwellOle Miss230.230.270.260.854.52221
37Michael Pittman Jr.USC340.250.270.290.854.52223
37Mohamed MassaquoiGeorgia500.20.190.250.624.51210
36Mike WilliamsClemson70.230.210.270.73218
35CeeDee LambOklahoma170.250.270.341.084.5198
32Jerry JeudyAlabama150.250.220.260.774.45193
29Sterling ShepardOklahoma400.270.250.320.854.48194
27Quentin JohnstonTCU210.310.30.310.46208
27Deebo SamuelSouth Carolina360.290.290.260.924.48214
25DeAndre HopkinsClemson270.290.310.341.384.57214

Among his comps, Egbuka only finished with a higher career market share of receiving yards and touchdowns than Mohamed Massaquoi. Looking at his production, it’s hard not to feel like Egbuka was pushed up in a weak WR class, but the competition on his college team remains a viable excuse.

Unfortunately, on his new team, Egbuka will compete with Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Jalen McMillan for targets. Unless the injury bug bites, it seems that he’s more of a stash and hold for this season.

Matthew Golden, 23rd Overall, Green Bay Packers

Golden played his first two years at Houston. He was involved as a freshman, reaching a 20% dominator rating with a disappointing 1.35 YPTA. He finished second on the team with 53.1 receiving yards per game, behind Tank Dell’s 107.5.

In his sophomore season, he excelled with a 32% touchdown market share. But Golden finished with just 17% of the yards, finishing behind Sam Brown and Joseph Manjack IV in receiving yards per game.

As a junior, he transferred to Texas, where he compiled just a 22% dominator rating and 1.82 YPTA. He averaged just 61.7 receiving yards per game, an atrocious mark for a first-round pick. Since 2014, the next closest first-round WRs were Henry Ruggs (62 receiving yards per game) and Phillip Dorsett (67).

Perhaps most damning is Golden has career yards per route run below 2. Scott Barrett of Fantasy Points has shown this is a worrisome benchmark for collegiate prospects.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Matthew GoldenTexas230.190.240.220.56
86Laquon TreadwellOle Miss230.230.270.260.854.52221
75Tee HigginsClemson330.230.30.270.87216
50Michael ThomasOhio State470.240.290.320.694.57212
43Breshad PerrimanUCF260.260.240.340.69212
40Cody LatimerIndiana560.220.250.30.754.52215
36DeAndre HopkinsClemson270.290.310.341.384.57214
35Jalen ReagorTCU210.260.350.250.424.47206
35Michael Pittman Jr.USC340.250.270.290.854.52223
34CeeDee LambOklahoma170.250.270.341.084.5198
33Kelvin BenjaminFlorida State280.190.290.231.074.61240

While there are hits on this list, I’d argue that they’re derived largely from draft position. Across the board, Golden’s numbers lag behind his comps. Golden’s final year market share of receiving yards (22%) is much more similar to busts Laquon Treadwell (26%), Jalen Reagor (25%), than hits Michael Thomas (32%), DeAndre Hopkins (34%), and CeeDee Lamb (34%).

Green Bay reportedly reassured Jayden Reed’s agent that Reed remains their WR1 — not exactly a ringing endorsement of Golden’s role. An alleged big-play deep threat, it’s fair to wonder just how much this selection had to do with Christian Watson’s January ACL year that likely knocks him out for most of the 2025 regular season.

Jayden Higgins, 34th Overall, Houston Texans

Higgins played his first collegiate season at 20 years old at Eastern Kentucky. He finished with 757 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns.

As a sophomore, Higgins transferred to Iowa State and upped his YPTA to 2.58 with a 28% dominator rating. He saved his best for last as a junior with 1,183 yards en route to a 38% dominator rating.

At the NFL Combine, Higgins ran a 4.47 forty, which, at his 214 lb. frame, equals is 94th percentile speed score. He also jumped impressively, finishing with an 87th percentile burst score.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Jayden HigginsIowa State340.280.320.360.694.47214
95DeAndre HopkinsClemson270.290.310.341.384.57214
95Breshad PerrimanUCF260.260.240.340.69212
92Quentin JohnstonTCU210.310.30.310.46208
90Anthony MillerMemphis510.30.370.341.38201
90Jonathan BaldwinPittsburgh260.320.330.310.384.49228
89Tee HigginsClemson330.230.30.270.87216
87A.J. BrownOle Miss510.260.260.320.54.49226
86Christian KirkTexas A&M470.290.360.280.774.47201
85Torrey SmithMaryland580.290.370.380.924.41204
85NKeal HarryArizona State320.310.390.380.754.53228

His comps promisingly include DeAndre Hopkins, A.J. Brown, and Tee Higgins. With Tank Dell likely out for the season, Higgins will have a chance to carve out a big role behind Nico Collins. Despite a disappointing sophomore season, catching passes from C.J. Stroud should be viewed as a positive.

Luther Burden III, 39th Overall, Chicago Bears

A three-year player at Missouri, Burden was involved from the get-go. As a true freshman, Burden finished with a 27% dominator rating. He took a big step forward as a sophomore, finishing with 85 catches, 1,205 yards, and 9 touchdowns – good for an eye-popping 3.2 YPTA. His junior year was quieter in total yardage, but he maintained a strong 38% dominator.

At the combine, Burden ran a 4.41 forty. His early production is extremely promising, but there is concern about fraudulent production with Burden being a manufactured touch guy.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Luther Burden IIIMissouri390.260.420.250.54.41206
95Christian KirkTexas A&M470.290.360.280.774.47201
82Jalen ReagorTCU210.260.350.250.424.47206
73Denzel MimsBaylor590.270.390.310.924.38207
68Justin JeffersonLSU220.260.30.261.24.43202
68Brian RobiskieOhio State360.250.330.270.624.46209
65Robert WoodsUSC410.290.30.230.854.51201
64Justin HunterTennessee340.260.280.290.754.44196
63Torrey SmithMaryland580.290.370.380.924.41204
55Randall CobbKentucky640.260.310.290.544.46191
52Donte MoncriefOle Miss900.280.360.250.464.4221

The comparable players paint a picture of decently successful slot receivers (Kirk, Woods, and Cobb). It’s helpful that Burden will be coached by Ben Johnson, who previously coaxed Amon-Ra St. Brown into arguably the best slot role in the league.

Tre Harris, 55th Overall, Los Angeles Chargers

Tre Harris played one game and recorded 20 receiving yards as a true freshman at Louisiana Tech. As a sophomore, he reached a 16% dominator rating. His breakout took place in his junior season when he jumped to a 35% dominator rating.

In his senior season, Harris transferred to Ole Miss and recorded a 31% dominator rating and a 2.9 YPTA. He had his best season as a fifth-year player with 3.78 YPTA and an impressive 39% dominator rating.

Harris ran a 4.54 forty at the combine, which at 205 lbs adjusts to a 67th percentile speed score. He also recorded an 81st percentile burst score.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Tre HarrisOle Miss550.290.320.370.884.54205
77Ryan BroylesOklahoma540.280.320.341.114.57192
77Bryan EdwardsSouth Carolina810.270.30.350.6212
75James WashingtonOklahoma State600.260.330.3114.54213
75Brandon LaFellLSU780.270.310.340.854.58211
75Terrance WilliamsBaylor740.260.280.410.924.52208
73Taywan TaylorWestern Kentucky720.250.280.371.214.5203
55Jordan ShipleyTexas840.250.30.390.934.6193
53Sterling ShepardOklahoma400.270.250.320.854.48194
50Rashee RiceSMU550.240.210.350.834.51204
47Greg SalasHawai'i1120.30.250.3414.53210

His comps are filled with middling names, but Rashee Rice stands out as a success story. His production was exceptional, but he’s already 23 years old, and his high number of contest targets raises a concerning red flag.

Jack Bech, 58th Overall, Las Vegas Raiders

To me, the second-round selection of Jack Bech was a reach. Through his first three collegiate seasons, Bech never topped a 13% dominator rating or 1.13 YPTA. And his best of those three seasons was his freshman year when he was playing tight end. Bech broke out as a 23-year-old senior finishing with a 32% dominator rating and 2.28 YPTA.

Bech doesn’t appear to be fast – he elected not to run the forty at the combine and performed below average in the leaping drills.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Jack BechTCU580.160.150.270.75214
77Parris CampbellOhio State590.170.150.210.864.31205
74Ricardo LouisAuburn1140.160.140.320.234.43215
67Jonathan MingoOle Miss390.210.20.290.424.46220
67Taylor PriceOhio900.230.210.280.364.4204
64Juaquin IglesiasOklahoma990.220.160.240.714.44210
62Gary JenningsWest Virginia1200.20.170.231.184.42214
56Josh PalmerTennessee770.180.130.230.44.51210
54Devin DuvernayTexas920.210.190.370.694.39200
53Mohamed MassaquoiGeorgia500.20.190.250.624.51210
52Kealoha PilaresHawai'i1320.160.180.271.254.42199

Lacking athleticism and production, the comps include several NFL afterthoughts. One-year wonders/late breakouts aren’t a bet you want to make historically.

Kyle Williams, 69th Overall, Washington State

Williams started at UNLV and broke out as a freshman with a 36% dominator. After transferring to Washington State, he posted his best season as a fifth-year senior: 38% dominator and 2.99 YPTA.

At 190 lbs, Williams ran a 4.40 forty at the NFL Combine. He will enter the NFL at 23 years old.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Kyle WilliamsWashington State690.280.330.331.084.4190
80Emmanuel SandersSMU820.320.330.370.544.4186
57DeVier PoseyOhio State680.30.30.340.674.39211
57Denzel MimsBaylor590.270.390.310.924.38207
53Leonard HankersonMiami790.260.380.3714.4209
52Bryan EdwardsSouth Carolina810.270.30.350.6212
51Deon ButlerPenn State910.260.310.260.544.31182
48T.Y. HiltonFlorida International920.340.390.370.544.34183
48Devin SmithOhio State370.260.280.270.864.42196
47Sterling ShepardOklahoma400.270.250.320.854.48194
47Taywan TaylorWestern Kentucky720.250.280.371.214.5203

The comps show how hard it is to be successful as a smaller wide receiver drafted in Round 3. Hits like Emmanuel Sanders and T.Y. Hilton provide hope for Drake Maye’s new weapon. Williams “made his presence felt” during the first practice of OTAs.

Isaac TeSlaa, 70th Overall, Detroit Lions

Isaac TeSlaa appears to be another overdrafted player. TeSlaa began his collegiate career at Hillsdale College, playing Division II in the Great Midwest Athletic Conference. He played sparingly as a true freshman, improved as a sophomore, and had a huge junior season. The issue is, especially at this level of competition, we’d like to see production much earlier.

As a senior, TeSlaa transferred to Arkansas and recorded a 12% dominator rating and 1.09 YPTA. As a fifth-year senior, he slightly increased these to 19% and 1.65, respectively. Not being able to reach a 20% dominator rating as a fifth-year senior is a major concern for his prospects as a fantasy player.

TeSlaa surely impressed the Lions at the NFL Combine. At 214 lbs, he ran a 4.43 forty – good for a 97th percentile speed score. TeSlaa also finished with a 91st percentile burst score and an 87th percentile agility score. While production remains an issue, he’s a very impressive athlete.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Isaac TeslaaArkansas700.170.140.180.34.43214
86Antonio GibsonMemphis660.170.220.180.624.39228
79Jacob HarrisUCF1410.140.150.150.84.39219
74Martavis BryantClemson1180.160.150.20.584.42211
56Terry McLaurinOhio State760.120.180.150.924.35208
52Parris CampbellOhio State590.170.150.210.864.31205
49Miles BoykinNotre Dame930.190.230.260.624.42220
47Brooks FosterNorth Carolina1600.180.140.150.184.44211
38Jordan KentOregon2100.160.180.190.334.49217
34Mecole HardmanGeorgia560.170.20.170.544.33187
34Bruce EllingtonSouth Carolina1060.20.230.250.674.45197

Impressive athletes like Terry McLaurin and Martavis Bryant make the list. However, most here failed to make any sort of NFL impact.

Pat Bryant, 74th Overall, Denver Broncos

A four-year player at Illinois, Bryant didn’t play regularly as a freshman. His sophomore year, he had a 19% dominator rating and increased to 24% as a junior. His real breakout took place as a senior when he reached an eye-popping 43% dominator rating and 2.95 YPTA.

At 6’2” 204 lbs, Bryant ran a pedestrian 4.61 forty – good for a 45th percentile speed score. Bryant also leaped his way to a 73rd percentile burst score.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Patrick BryantIllinois740.240.310.380.834.61204
100Jordan ShipleyTexas840.250.30.390.934.6193
99Brandon LaFellLSU780.270.310.340.854.58211
95Terrance WilliamsBaylor740.260.280.410.924.52208
93Taywan TaylorWestern Kentucky720.250.280.371.214.5203
90Ryan BroylesOklahoma540.280.320.341.114.57192
88James WashingtonOklahoma State600.260.330.3114.54213
85Vincent BrownSan Diego State820.280.30.350.774.68187
74Justin HardyEast Carolina1070.30.310.310.774.56192
71Rashee RiceSMU550.240.210.350.834.51204
68Devin StreetPittsburgh1460.270.250.350.74.55198

Again, not much in terms of comps outside of Rashee Rice. Broncos coach Sean Payton said Bryant “has a lot of traits that Mike [Thomas] had, especially at the line of scrimmage.” The sheer mention of Michael Thomas and the underperformance of the Broncos’ receivers is enough to keep Bryant on the fantasy radar.

Jaylin Noel, 79th Overall, Houston Texans

A four-year player at Iowa State, Noel broke out as a junior with a 30% dominator rating. He upped his dominator rating to 33% and 2.53 YPTA as a senior. While his production was solid, his lack of forced missed tackles left something to be desired.

Noel displayed elite athleticism at the NFL combine. He ran a 4.39 forty, leaped to a 99th percentile burst score, and recorded a 78th percentile agility score.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Jaylin NoelIowa State790.230.220.330.574.39194
100Devin DuvernayTexas920.210.190.370.694.39200
100Markus WheatonOregon State790.240.20.310.854.45189
99Taylor PriceOhio900.230.210.280.364.4204
95Jarius WrightArkansas1180.220.240.3114.39182
94Malachi CorleyWestern Kentucky650.20.210.280.92
91Khalil ShakirBoise State1480.250.220.360.584.43196
90Dez FitzpatrickLouisville1090.210.260.310.274.43208
88Denarius MooreTennessee1480.210.230.30.694.43194
87Kenny McKinleySouth Carolina1410.260.250.290.44.37189
79Jacoby FordClemson1080.210.210.290.434.28186

Unfortunately, Noel looks very similar to many speedsters who didn’t hit. Khalil Shakir at least provides some sort of playable upside.

Savion Williams, 87th Overall, Green Bay Packers

Savion Williams is a unique prospect because he was a bit of a WR/RB hybrid, a la Cordarrelle Patterson or Jalen Hurd. A five-year player at TCU, he played sparingly as a freshman and sophomore. Even in his final three seasons, he never topped a 20% receiving dominator rating or 1.35 YPTA. As a fifth-year senior, he added 51 rushes for 322 yards and six touchdowns as a rusher.

At 6’ 4” 222 lbs, Williams ran a 4.48 forty – good for a 96th percentile speed score.

SimPlayerSchoolDPCYMSCTDMSFYMSFTD/G40WT
100Savion WilliamsTCU870.140.160.160.54.48222
68Joe ReedVirginia1510.140.20.20.544.47224
63Amari RodgersClemson850.150.140.240.584.52212
58Patrick TurnerUSC870.170.170.220.774.59223
58Josh PalmerTennessee770.180.130.230.44.51210
57Greg ChildsArkansas1340.190.180.104.52219
55Michael WilsonStanford940.190.20.260.674.58213
47Keith MumpheryMichigan State1750.150.110.160.254.54215
45Gary JenningsWest Virginia1200.20.170.231.184.42214
44Jehu ChessonMichigan1390.180.210.180.154.47204
42Cornell PowellClemson1810.110.10.210.584.53204

His production was so light that his comparable players include essentially no hits. Williams faces an uphill battle in Green Bay’s crowded and run-heavy offense.