Rookie running backs have an enormous impact on fantasy football leagues each year. Last year, Ashton Jeanty, TreVeyon Henderson and Quinshon Judkins finished as top-24 RBs. In 2024, Bucky Irving was one of the best possible selections in one-year and dynasty formats.
In recent years, very few running backs are playing into their thirties and are recycled for newer, younger players. Only the elite backs make it to a second contract. That churn means rookie running backs are more likely than ever to find their way into playing time. And even when a rookie doesn’t make an immediate impact, the violent nature of the position produces a steady stream of injuries that pull highly drafted players onto the field.
In this article, I’ll work through every rookie running back selected in the top 170 picks of the 2026 NFL Draft, in draft order. Keep one thing in mind: running backs don’t strictly need draft capital to carry fantasy value, but it certainly helps them earn early playing time. A handful of intriguing backs fell outside that top-170 cutoff and aren’t covered here.
I’ll use RotoViz’s Prospect Box Score Scout to generate comparable players for each running back. If you don’t have a RotoViz subscription, we highly recommend checking them out — there’s no better evidence-based provider of fantasy football content.
Jeremiyah Love, 3rd Overall, Arizona Cardinals
Regarded by many as the best football player in the class, Jeremiyah Love became the highest selected running back since Saquon Barkley in 2018.
Love saw the field as a freshman, but his real breakout came as a sophomore, when he piled up 1,413 total yards and 20 touchdowns. He topped it as a junior with 1,652 total yards and 21 touchdowns.
Combining athleticism, efficiency, and receiving ability, there isn’t much to nitpick with Love. He posted a YPRR above 2.0 and avoided tackles at an excellent rate.
His 4.36 forty at 212 pounds translates to a 98th-percentile speed score.
| Sim | Player | Draft | RuYPG | RecPG | RuYds | Rec | RuYMS | Tyms | Forty | WT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | Jeremiyah Love | 3 | 71.39 | 1.56 | 1372 | 27 | 0.41 | 0.21 | 4.36 | 212 |
| 82 | Trent Richardson | 3 | 82.37 | 1.79 | 1679 | 29 | 0.41 | 0.24 | 4.48 | 228 |
| 31 | C.J. Spiller | 9 | 68.12 | 2.39 | 1212 | 36 | 0.41 | 0.25 | 4.37 | 196 |
| 25 | Darren McFadden | 4 | 120.76 | 1.21 | 1830 | 21 | 0.48 | 0.32 | 4.33 | 211 |
| 25 | Ezekiel Elliott | 4 | 113.17 | 1.66 | 1821 | 27 | 0.62 | 0.31 | 4.47 | 225 |
| 21 | Bijan Robinson | 8 | 109.94 | 1.94 | 1578 | 19 | 0.6 | 0.32 | 4.46 | 215 |
| 15 | Jonathan Stewart | 13 | 82.03 | 1.37 | 1722 | 22 | 0.52 | 0.23 | 4.46 | 235 |
| 12 | Todd Gurley II | 10 | 109.5 | 2.17 | 911 | 12 | 0.56 | 0.27 | 4.52 | 222 |
| 9 | Christian McCaffrey | 8 | 106 | 2.68 | 1603 | 37 | 0.58 | 0.36 | 4.48 | 202 |
| 9 | Knowshon Moreno | 12 | 105.15 | 2.04 | 1400 | 33 | 0.64 | 0.32 | 4.5 | 217 |
| 9 | Leonard Fournette | 4 | 119.69 | 1.28 | 843 | 15 | 0.56 | 0.36 | 4.51 | 240 |
Column Key
Sim refers to the sim score for how similar each comparable player is. RuYPG is the average per game for each rusher’s career. RecPG is the per-game receptions for each player’s career. RuYds and Rec represent rush yards and receptions for each player’s final season. RuYMS refers to the rushing yards market share. TYms refers to each player’s market share of total yards.
There are no red flags here. That said, Love doesn’t quite match the high-end passing-game usage or total backfield domination of some of the backs taken at the very top of recent drafts.
Even so, Love is a special player, and it’s hard to imagine the Cardinals not handing him a heavy workload given the capital they spent. He’ll be expensive on a questionable offense, but historically this isn’t the type of player you want to bet against.
Jadarian Price, 32nd Overall, Seattle Seahawks
Jadarian Price backed up Love at Notre Dame, so he never compiled the kind of production you’d expect from an early pick. He never rushed for more than 750 yards in a season and never topped a 31% dominator rating, though he was efficient (6.0 YPC) when given the chance.
As a receiver, he never caught more than six passes in a single season — a real concern for his fantasy outlook.
Price ran a 4.49 forty at 203 pounds, good for a 66th-percentile speed score.
| Sim | Player | Draft | RuYPG | RecPG | RuYds | Rec | RuYMS | Tyms | Forty | WT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | Jadarian Price | 32 | 42.3 | 0.38 | 674 | 6 | 0.25 | 0.12 | 4.49 | 203 |
| 65 | Josh Jacobs | 24 | 37.2 | 1.2 | 640 | 20 | 0.2 | 0.12 | 220 | |
| 55 | Tyrion Davis-Price | 93 | 49.83 | 0.8 | 1003 | 10 | 0.4 | 0.12 | 4.48 | 211 |
| 54 | Miles Sanders | 53 | 51.44 | 1 | 1271 | 24 | 0.37 | 0.15 | 4.49 | 211 |
| 47 | Felix Jones | 22 | 77.84 | 1.03 | 1162 | 16 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 4.44 | 207 |
| 36 | Zamir White | 122 | 55.22 | 0.46 | 856 | 9 | 0.3 | 0.14 | 4.4 | 214 |
| 35 | James Cook | 63 | 32.67 | 1.46 | 728 | 27 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 4.42 | 199 |
| 30 | DAndre Swift | 35 | 67.09 | 1.7 | 1218 | 24 | 0.3 | 0.19 | 4.48 | 212 |
| 29 | Damien Harris | 87 | 57.98 | 0.98 | 876 | 22 | 0.32 | 0.16 | 4.57 | 216 |
| 28 | Kenyan Drake | 73 | 39.34 | 1.21 | 408 | 29 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 4.45 | 210 |
| 26 | Christine Michael | 62 | 69.78 | 1.1 | 417 | 8 | 0.45 | 0.17 | 4.54 | 220 |
His comps are all over the map, ranging from Tyrion Davis-Price and Zamir White to Josh Jacobs. The concern is that the hits in this group were far better receivers than Price has been. At a position as replaceable as running back, it’s odd to see a team spend this kind of capital on an unproven player with so little receiving production — it speaks to how badly the Seahawks needed to fill a hole.
That context matters: with Kenneth Walker gone and Zach Charbonnet recovering from an ACL tear, Seattle had a clear need. Price has already drawn “entire drives with the starters” early in camp.
Kaelon Black, 90th Overall, San Francisco 49ers
Kaelon Black’s long college road began at James Madison, where he redshirted as a freshman and then played just three games the following season before a knee injury ended it. He stuck around for two more years, earning a starting role in the second.
He then transferred to Indiana for his final two seasons. Black saw more work in the second — and won a national championship — but still reached only a 31% dominator rating and caught just four passes. After all that college football, he’ll turn 25 in October.
Black never truly dominated a backfield and lacked a consistent receiving profile, so there’s little in his production to project NFL success. He wasn’t invited to the NFL Combine.
| Sim | Player | Draft | RuYPG | RecPG | RuYds | Rec | RuYMS | Tyms | Forty | WT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | Kaelon Black | 90 | 46.12 | 1.02 | 1039 | 4 | 0.29 | 0.13 | 208 | |
| 79 | Jordan Scarlett | 154 | 52.74 | 0.43 | 776 | 10 | 0.36 | 0.15 | 4.47 | 208 |
| 77 | Jase McClellan | 186 | 56.6 | 1.14 | 890 | 15 | 0.36 | 0.16 | 221 | |
| 76 | Qadree Ollison | 152 | 59.56 | 1.04 | 1213 | 11 | 0.33 | 0.19 | 4.58 | 228 |
| 76 | Glen Coffee | 74 | 61.97 | 1.24 | 1383 | 16 | 0.37 | 0.2 | 4.5 | 209 |
| 73 | Damien Harris | 87 | 57.98 | 0.98 | 876 | 22 | 0.32 | 0.16 | 4.57 | 216 |
| 72 | Zamir White | 122 | 55.22 | 0.46 | 856 | 9 | 0.3 | 0.14 | 4.4 | 214 |
| 70 | Mike Gillislee | 164 | 53.13 | 0.59 | 1152 | 16 | 0.3 | 0.16 | 4.55 | 208 |
| 67 | DeeJay Dallas | 144 | 49.26 | 0.9 | 693 | 14 | 0.35 | 0.17 | 4.58 | 217 |
| 58 | Jonathan Williams | 156 | 64.47 | 0.72 | 1190 | 11 | 0.34 | 0.19 | 4.56 | 220 |
| 56 | Matt Jones | 95 | 55.04 | 0.73 | 817 | 11 | 0.35 | 0.18 | 4.61 | 231 |
This looks like a reach, something Kyle Shanahan has been known to do. The trouble is that many of his hand-picked backs — Tyrion Davis-Price, Trey Sermon, and Joe Williams — flopped.
Still, with Brian Robinson gone and Christian McCaffrey aging, the 49ers need a backup to emerge. Black looks set to compete with Jordan James for that job.
Jonah Coleman, 108th Overall, Denver Broncos
Jonah Coleman started his college career at Arizona, leading the team with 871 rushing yards and a 36% dominator rating.
He followed coach Jedd Fisch to Washington as a junior, again pacing the team with 1,053 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns, then climbed to an 80% dominator rating as a senior.
He also caught 79 passes over his final three seasons, forced plenty of missed tackles, and gained 71% of rushing after contact. His long speed is a question mark, but the all-around ability is there. Coleman did not test athletically before the draft.
| Sim | Player | Draft | RuYPG | RecPG | RuYds | Rec | RuYMS | Tyms | Forty | WT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | Jonah Coleman | 108 | 61.08 | 1.74 | 758 | 31 | 0.49 | 0.19 | 220 | |
| 99 | Lamical Perine | 120 | 49.7 | 1.44 | 676 | 40 | 0.35 | 0.17 | 4.62 | 216 |
| 98 | Mike Davis | 126 | 65.95 | 1.89 | 982 | 32 | 0.47 | 0.22 | 4.61 | 217 |
| 86 | Alexander Mattison | 102 | 74.37 | 1.58 | 1412 | 27 | 0.49 | 0.2 | 4.67 | 221 |
| 79 | Devonta Freeman | 103 | 60.95 | 1.27 | 1016 | 22 | 0.37 | 0.17 | 4.58 | 206 |
| 78 | Damien Harris | 87 | 57.98 | 0.98 | 876 | 22 | 0.32 | 0.16 | 4.57 | 216 |
| 77 | Wayne Gallman | 140 | 81.64 | 1.55 | 1133 | 20 | 0.61 | 0.22 | 4.6 | 215 |
| 77 | John Kelly | 176 | 58.26 | 1.59 | 778 | 37 | 0.41 | 0.21 | 216 | |
| 73 | Kenneth Dixon | 134 | 95.32 | 1.87 | 1070 | 34 | 0.57 | 0.26 | 4.56 | 215 |
| 71 | Zack Moss | 86 | 90.29 | 1.47 | 1416 | 28 | 0.55 | 0.27 | 4.65 | 223 |
| 70 | Bryce Love | 112 | 78.76 | 1 | 736 | 20 | 0.43 | 0.23 | 200 |
His comp list includes some hits, but this isn’t a dominant profile. The landing spot is intriguing: Denver drafted RJ Harvey in the second round last year but doesn’t appear sold on him after an underwhelming rookie season, and JK Dobbins returns on a one-year deal despite a long injury history.
Coleman was an excellent pass-blocker in college, and Sean Payton has said he “can play on third downs.”
Mike Washington Jr., 122nd Overall, Las Vegas Raiders
Mike Washington began his college career at Buffalo, where he spent three seasons but served as the lead back in only one, posting a 52% dominator rating. That year was bookended by two seasons in which he never cleared a 16% dominator rating.
He then transferred to New Mexico State and finally Arkansas, where he reached an 80% dominator rating in his age-22 season. Even so, Washington struggled to consolidate touches and graded poorly in breakaway runs and forced missed tackles.
Washington made a splash at the Combine, running a 4.33 forty at 223 pounds — a 100th-percentile speed score.
| Sim | Player | Draft | RuYPG | RecPG | RuYds | Rec | RuYMS | Tyms | Forty | WT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | Michael Washington | 122 | 57.46 | 1.3 | 1068 | 28 | 0.42 | 0.19 | 4.33 | 223 |
| 72 | Ben Tate | 58 | 75.48 | 1.2 | 1362 | 20 | 0.43 | 0.23 | 4.34 | 220 |
| 69 | Montario Hardesty | 59 | 49.81 | 0.79 | 1345 | 25 | 0.35 | 0.16 | 4.49 | 225 |
| 67 | Cedric Peerman | 185 | 51.35 | 1.94 | 774 | 44 | 0.51 | 0.21 | 4.34 | 216 |
| 65 | Jase McClellan | 186 | 56.6 | 1.14 | 890 | 15 | 0.36 | 0.16 | 221 | |
| 64 | Andre Brown | 129 | 57.56 | 1.68 | 767 | 29 | 0.51 | 0.23 | 4.37 | 224 |
| 64 | Brian Robinson Jr. | 98 | 50.07 | 0.96 | 1343 | 35 | 0.28 | 0.11 | 4.53 | 225 |
| 63 | Cyrus Gray | 182 | 67.31 | 2.1 | 1045 | 31 | 0.47 | 0.2 | 4.4 | 206 |
| 61 | Ryquell Armstead | 140 | 61.13 | 0.63 | 1098 | 8 | 0.38 | 0.16 | 4.45 | 220 |
| 61 | Bilal Powell | 126 | 61.53 | 1.18 | 1405 | 18 | 0.4 | 0.19 | 4.51 | 207 |
| 58 | Bryce Love | 112 | 78.76 | 1 | 736 | 20 | 0.43 | 0.23 | 200 |
The comps don’t offer many success stories because of the lack of production. Washington is a freak athlete, but that freakishness simply didn’t show up on the field. He’ll give the Raiders depth behind Ashton Jeanty.
Emmett Johnson, 161st Overall, Kansas City Chiefs
We’re now deep into the fifth round with Emmett Johnson. There simply wasn’t much draft capital spent on running backs this year, as the class wasn’t a particularly enticing one.
Johnson is one of the more interesting names left. He posted a 66% dominator rating across nine games in his first college season, and after a mediocre second year, he broke out for an 81% dominator rating in his third — rushing for 1,451 yards and 12 touchdowns while adding 46 catches for 370 yards and three scores.
At 202 pounds, Johnson ran a 4.56 forty for a 41st-percentile speed score. He was average in the leaping drills and disappointing in the agility tests.
| Sim | Player | Draft | RuYPG | RecPG | RuYds | Rec | RuYMS | Tyms | Forty | WT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | Emmett Johnson | 161 | 74.55 | 2.76 | 1451 | 46 | 0.52 | 0.28 | 4.56 | 202 |
| 91 | Ito Smith | 126 | 88.94 | 2.75 | 1413 | 40 | 0.59 | 0.27 | 4.45 | 195 |
| 80 | Paul Perkins | 149 | 89.44 | 2.05 | 1343 | 30 | 0.55 | 0.25 | 4.54 | 208 |
| 77 | Eno Benjamin | 222 | 84.32 | 2.38 | 1083 | 42 | 0.62 | 0.27 | 4.57 | 207 |
| 73 | DeAndre Washington | 143 | 72.57 | 2.64 | 1492 | 41 | 0.53 | 0.19 | 4.49 | 204 |
| 73 | Tyler Badie | 196 | 59.33 | 2.74 | 1594 | 54 | 0.37 | 0.21 | 4.45 | 197 |
| 71 | Elijah McGuire | 188 | 84.55 | 2.53 | 1127 | 29 | 0.54 | 0.32 | 4.53 | 214 |
| 70 | Will Shipley | 127 | 76.14 | 2.36 | 827 | 31 | 0.54 | 0.26 | 206 | |
| 64 | Jeremy McNichols | 162 | 94.26 | 3.03 | 1709 | 37 | 0.5 | 0.26 | 4.49 | 214 |
| 62 | Sam Hicks | 62.91 | 2.27 | 1333 | 45 | 0.42 | 0.19 | |||
| 61 | Jay Ajayi | 149 | 99.89 | 1.92 | 1823 | 50 | 0.6 | 0.28 | 4.57 | 221 |
Johnson’s athleticism and draft slot don’t paint an optimistic picture. But strip away the draft capital and the production looks like that of a player usually taken much earlier — and I’ll take production over athleticism any day.
Kansas City’s signing of Kenneth Walker likely caps his immediate opportunity, but injuries can always crack the door open at running back.
Nicholas Singleton, 165th Overall, Tennessee Titans
Nicholas Singleton spent all four years at Penn State, sharing the backfield with Kaytron Allen the entire time. Allen handled more of the rushing load, but Singleton was the better pass-catcher, hauling in 91 receptions over his final three seasons.
On the ground, though, he posted a poor evasion rate and struggled to generate big plays. He was still recovering from a broken foot at the time of the Combine so he didn’t participate in the athletic drills.
| Sim | Player | Draft | RuYPG | RecPG | RuYds | Rec | RuYMS | Tyms | Forty | WT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | Nicholas Singleton | 165 | 65.13 | 1.92 | 549 | 24 | 0.4 | 0.22 | 219 | |
| 94 | Kylin Hill | 256 | 66.53 | 1.74 | 58 | 23 | 0.45 | 0.24 | 4.51 | 214 |
| 91 | Jarett Hunter | 55.2 | 2.09 | 737 | 24 | 0.42 | 0.23 | |||
| 89 | Dri Archer | 52.04 | 2.2 | 527 | 25 | 0.33 | 0.22 | |||
| 89 | Mike Weber | 218 | 70.42 | 1.42 | 954 | 21 | 0.42 | 0.18 | 4.47 | 211 |
| 89 | Rico Dowdle | 55.56 | 1.59 | 498 | 22 | 0.39 | 0.18 | 4.54 | 213 | |
| 87 | Raheim Sanders | 70.7 | 1.73 | 881 | 27 | 0.47 | 0.24 | 4.46 | 217 | |
| 87 | DaRel Scott | 221 | 64.89 | 1.3 | 708 | 14 | 0.47 | 0.22 | 4.4 | 211 |
| 87 | Isaih Pacheco | 251 | 56.81 | 1.12 | 639 | 14 | 0.46 | 0.22 | 4.37 | 216 |
| 85 | James Davis | 195 | 76.35 | 1.04 | 751 | 14 | 0.47 | 0.22 | 4.45 | 218 |
| 85 | John Kelly | 176 | 58.26 | 1.59 | 778 | 37 | 0.41 | 0.21 | 216 |
Comps like Rico Dowdle and Isiah Pacheco offer some reason for optimism but their path is not the norm. Singleton does lands in a Tennessee backfield that lacks a long-term answer at the position, giving him a real path to touches.




