Creating A Running Back Age Model To Predict Busts in 2020
After writing The Peak Age for an NFL Running Back, I became intrigued with how age affects running backs and how predictable the decline is. Data analysis programming languages, like Python and R, are very helpful when studying historical seasons. Let’s see how successful a predictive model using running back age and PPR scoring can be.
When Do Inefficient Rookie Wide Receivers Become WR1s?
In my previous article, we found that inefficient rookie wide receivers typically share a number of characteristics. Those include volume, draft capital, efficiency, and weight. I’m also under the impression that they break out later than the typical receiver. Let’s find out when inefficient rookie wide receivers generally become WR1s, which is defined as a…
NFL Free Agents 2020: Quarterbacks, Part 2
This offseason, we have a nearly unprecedented number of starters at the quarterback position hitting free agency – and surprisingly few teams in complete desperate need of one. This promises that the class of ‘NFL free agents 2020’ is going to be very dramatic and compelling. Not including the teams who have free-agent starters, only…
The Peak Age For An NFL Running Back
With dynasty fantasy football leagues continuing to grow in popularity, player age is an extremely important variable to analyze in order to succeed in fantasy football. When it comes to running backs, most players generally are not enjoying long careers with long stints as a top-performing back. Reading this article will help you gain a better…
Can Inefficient Rookie Wide Receivers Become Stars?
With a stud prospect like N’Keal Harry struggling as a rookie, I began to wonder how often we see inefficient rookie wide receivers become WR1s. After researching how successful efficient rookie receivers have been, I wanted to test the other side of the spectrum and see how inefficient rookie receivers fared in the future.
The Peak Age For An NFL Wide Receiver
In fantasy football leagues, we’re constantly attempting to predict the beginning of each player’s success and decline. One of the most important variables, in terms of predictive value, is age. While there are outliers who can produce late in their careers, most players at the same position tend to have similar career arcs. In this…
How to Spot Underweight Studs: Part 3
After Part 1 and Part 2 of the rookie yards per target (YPT) study, we can see how important rookie seasons are for determining future NFL success.
NFL Free Agents 2020: Quarterbacks, Part 1
This offseason, we have a nearly unprecedented number of starters at the quarterback position hitting free agency – and surprisingly few teams in complete desperate need of one. This promises that the class of ‘NFL free agents 2020’ is going to be very dramatic and compelling. Not including the teams who have free-agent starters only…
An Easy Way to Find Future Elite Tight Ends
In this article, I will be diving into the tight end position to see what can be gathered from yards per target (YPT) in a tight end’s rookie year and if it has any predictive value. Since the threshold of 8 YPT worked very well for predicting future receiver success, I wanted to see if…
A Simple Hack for Finding Superstar Receivers: Part 2
Improving our process is something we always want to strive for. If you learn exploitable treads each offseason, you’ll return the following season as an improved fantasy player.