2013 saw career seasons from many different NFL players. However, the past doesn’t always predict the future, and in these players’ situations their 2013 may go down as their best statistical season. Whether it be due to coaching changes, personnel additions, or simply teammates recovering from injury, these players’ statistics are more than likely to…
Predicting Breakout Tight Ends
Last week I took a look at how fantasy owners can properly use fantasy points per target (FP/t) to predict breakout wide receivers. I ran a similar analysis on tight ends, to see if there were any similarities among tight ends that showed promise in limited opportunity in one year and broke out as fantasy…
Why Peyton Manning Should Not Be A 1st Round Pick
Author’s Note: This article pertains to Apex Fantasy Football Money Leagues’ scoring (PPR with 4 Points Per Passing TD) and does not apply to 2 QB or 6 Points Per Passing Touchdown Leagues. After providing the 4th most Points Above Average for owners in 2013, I fully expect Peyton Manning to be a 1st round…
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Post-Draft ADP and Value Predictions: Part I
Possibly even more than free agency, the draft gives us an honest look into how NFL teams view themselves- their strengths, weaknesses, and everything in between. I decided to take a look at how NFL teams addressed those concerns, and how those draft choices will affect veteran players with a fantasy football lens. Will their…
The Shanahan Effect: What Could’ve Been
I wrote this article literally hours before news of Josh Gordon’s possible suspension broke. Oh what could’ve been… Coming off a magnificent breakout campaign in 2013, Josh Gordon will face new challenges in 2014 (truly more than I could’ve known). This challenge starts with losing offensive guru Rob Chudzinski, who was replaced by Kyle Shanahan….
Fantasy Points Per Target: A Wide Receiver Breakout Indicator?
We hear it every year in fantasy football circles: “He was so good when he actually played. If he just gets the chance, he’ll be a star.” In search of the next breakout player, fantasy owners will often look to players that shined in limited opportunities and target those players on draft day. When it…
Who Were The Most Valuable Players Last Season
Recently I found myself writing an article titled “Why Peyton Manning Isn’t Worthy of Your 1st Round Pick.” Before I was able to prove that you shouldn’t take Manning in the first round this season, I felt that I must assign a value to him for last season to see if his historic season truly…
Kyle Rudolph and Norv Turner – Together At Last
Antonio Gates. Jordan Cameron. Kyle Rudolph? The first two have been proven fantasy studs under new Minnesota offensive coordinator Mr. Norval Turner- can the latter be next in line? Let’s put aside all of the (arguably deserving) criticisms Turner has faced over the years and simply look at the production of tight ends through the…
Creating Your Own Projections: Points Above Average
Amongst fantasy football “experts”, creating your own projections is an act that has become a commonality. It all started with Value-Based Drafting created by Football Guys’ David Dodds and Joe Bryant. Since then, many have created their own strategies for making cheatsheets. I’ll now introduce you to my variation of this method.