Apex Insider Blog

This article aims to improve the process of evaluating potential breakout second-year wide receivers.

The year was 2013 and I stumbled across an article called Alshon Jeffery, DeAndre Hopkins, and Rookie Derangement Syndrome. The article argued that owners frequently ignore valuable second-year breakout candidates, instead choosing to draft overvalued rookies fresh off of NFL draft hype.

In the previous edition of ADP Risers, we went over Preseason Week 1 standouts James Washington and Darwin Thompson as well as the recently traded Duke Johnson. Who is seeing their ADP rise after the second week of preseason?

Our fearless leader Mike Braude went over some standouts from the first week of the preseason last week, and this week I’m going to be analyzing the most honest form of response from the fantasy football community: changes to the average draft position (ADP).

It is sometimes a bad idea to buy too much into the preseason, but it also gives us a good idea of which players are looking good and getting reps. Yesterday was our first opportunity to watch many rookies play and see if they gain ground in the eyes of the coaches and fans from…

The Apex Expert Writers League has been running for the last six years. Comprising many of the best writers in the industry, this is an Apex league that is played out. The draft is always interesting as there is no hiding players from these experts.

In this series, I will continue to go over players at the same position and ADP who should not be drafted next to each other. Check out Part 1 where I argue against drafting Derrick Henry and Alshon Jeffery!

Fantasy owners can always gain an advantage by drafting a player in the late rounds who ends up starting for their team. Last year, players who cost almost zero draft capital James Conner and Phillip Lindsay were starters for their fantasy teams whenever they were healthy and ended up helping their teams tremendously. 

Oftentimes on draft day, we divide players into “tiers”. Theoretically, you select one of those players in the tier, and your team is set. However, we sometimes use ADP (average draft position) to determine these tiers. I am here to tell you that ADP lies, and the choices within these ADP tiers are much more…

Every year, there are players that drastically outperform their average draft position. Generally, it takes place with “breakouts” – who see a substantial increase in their scoring from one year to the next. Wide receivers most frequently break out in Year 2 but third (like Tyler Boyd) and fourth year breakouts (like Tyler Lockett) also…